[2026] Insider Trading on Online Betting Markets with Rep. Tarik Khan, D-Philadelphia.
00:00 - The following program is sponsored in part by customers
00:04 - bank.
00:14 - Representative Tarik
00:15 - Khan, Democrat from Philadelphia.
00:18 - There's a form of online gambling called prediction markets.
00:22 - What kind of outcomes are being gambled on here?
00:26 - Yeah, it's like a whole new world for people who like to bet.
00:30 - So, in fact, one of the markets is called Kashi.
00:34 - And they say their tag line is bet on anything.
00:38 - So you can imagine sports
00:41 - also politics, elections.
00:44 - When your favorite pop star might release
00:47 - their next single, it's anything.
00:50 - And so we're seeing a whole lot of a whole lot of stuff
00:54 - being wagered, on this, on these, on these sites.
00:57 - Well, if it's a whole range of things that can be bet on,
01:00 - what does the user see when they go on the internet to the website?
01:04 - Are their choices of things to bet on, or can they initiate
01:07 - what they want to bet on?
01:09 - That's a good question.
01:10 - So I have actually gone on these markets not to gamble,
01:14 - but to actually see what are the odds of something happening.
01:17 - And it's actually,
01:20 - you know, you're not actually trading to how I guess how they've structured
01:25 - it is you're not actually necessarily placing a bet on the outcome.
01:30 - You're buying shares of yes or no.
01:34 - And if the if it is a yes question,
01:38 - then the your shares have value and you win that bet.
01:42 - And if it's knowing and you're wrong you lose the bet.
01:46 - So you have a 50% chance of winning which is not too bad.
01:49 - You would you would think so.
01:50 - But unfortunately there been issues
01:52 - with insider trading, which is what we're trying to address.
01:56 - And, give me some example of some real world
01:59 - events that somebody might be able to bet on.
02:02 - So you can bet on the Super Bowl and you know, you can do this
02:05 - on some of the other sites like Bet, MGM and DraftKings.
02:08 - You can you can bet on on these sites, but you can also bet on, for example,
02:14 - who is going to win, who is going to win
02:17 - the Senate election that's coming up in 2028?
02:21 - You can bet on who is going to win for Congress.
02:24 - You can bet on, for example, when Donald Trump,
02:28 - my tweets put put out an angry tweet.
02:32 - How many angry or how many angry tweets in the last,
02:34 - in the next 24 hours, will the president put out?
02:37 - You can basically bet on things like that.
02:40 - So it's sort of a range of gamut of things.
02:42 - And then also pop, you know, and music and culture, things, you know,
02:46 - will this person show up here or you know, who will win survivor
02:50 - and things like that.
02:51 - So how much might a gambler have to spend and how much might they win?
02:56 - So that's the thing is that, you know, people are betting large sums of money.
03:01 - And what what we're concerned about is there a limit?
03:05 - No, not that I know of.
03:08 - I mean, there are there.
03:10 - So there was there was a case of insider trading, which I'm
03:13 - sure we'll talk about, where the the soldier
03:16 - placed a $400,000 bet and won.
03:19 - And so I, I think it's basically
03:23 - as much as you want to bet, but I don't have to check on that.
03:26 - But it's it's pretty big.
03:28 - More than I'm willing to put on for sure.
03:30 - And before we get into the details
03:32 - of that soldier story, and we certainly will, can you give me
03:36 - any kind of a general example of someone on the inside here
03:40 - who would have an unfair advantage before we get into the soldier story?
03:43 - Sure.
03:45 - It's literally anything.
03:47 - So imagine, you know, before it used to be like, if you worked at a
03:52 - if you worked at a publicly traded company,
03:54 - you had to be careful about what you talked about, because, you know,
03:57 - what the intent for the insider trading regulations in, in, in, in DC
04:02 - is that two guys in a golf course, one is telling them, hey,
04:06 - we're going to come out with good earnings.
04:08 - Make sure you buy our stock.
04:10 - That's not fair, right.
04:11 - Well, now that you can bet on anything, literally anything,
04:15 - it is putting people in the position where they are
04:19 - now in a position to have classified information, not classified,
04:22 - but protected information that the rest of the people don't have.
04:26 - And so that's where the shenanigans have been, have been, have been coming.
04:31 - Well, speaking of two guys on the golf course who are exchanging protected
04:35 - information, what kind of protection is in place right now
04:39 - that can level the playing field for betting on real world events?
04:43 - Is there anything?
04:44 - Yeah, there's there's some concerns that that we have.
04:48 - One first is, is are these death markets where if,
04:51 - whether a someone will be killed or someone will die?
04:55 - And also betting on youth sports,
04:57 - which is something that we've seen before but is enabled by markets like this.
05:02 - So there are two, you know, concerns about things that,
05:05 - that you can bet on that, that you shouldn't.
05:08 - But you know, is there anything in place right now
05:11 - that can level the playing field that and maybe anticipates your legislation?
05:15 - Yeah. So
05:18 - this technology, this sort of platform that, that kind of
05:21 - came out around the time of the pandemic, around 2000, 2002.
05:25 - Excuse me, in 2020, 2021.
05:27 - These platforms have been really becoming popular.
05:34 - And now there is big money that's being placed on it.
05:38 - So the and the the sort of the the access to it, has been growing.
05:44 - So more people are using it and we don't feel that the safeguards
05:47 - that should be in place are in place currently.
05:51 - So, well, so then let's get into your bill then,
05:54 - what would it do to prevent someone from having an unfair advantage?
05:59 - That's that's the core of the issue.
06:00 - Yeah. Yeah.
06:01 - So we have, there's there's a couple provisions in
06:05 - that is first is making sure that the platforms themselves
06:08 - are guarding against insider trading because we need to make sure
06:12 - that these markets are safe and that people are being dis.
06:17 - Discouraged, from, from doing it from the actual platforms, standpoint.
06:22 - That's the first thing.
06:23 - The second one is we want to make sure that there are civil
06:25 - penalties here in the Commonwealth, so that if someone runs
06:28 - afoul of insider trading, they're hit and, and, and they feel it.
06:33 - So we're, we're actually setting, the penalty
06:36 - to $50,000, or twice
06:40 - the earnings, or of the wager that, that, that they have that they've made.
06:45 - So now let's get into the US Army soldier
06:48 - who used classified information to bet on real world events.
06:53 - And I'm sure this story
06:53 - will really bring the meaning of the whole thing home to our viewers.
06:57 - Yeah. So
07:00 - there there have been a
07:02 - number of bets made during this war that have raised, raised red flags.
07:07 - I think there were there were nine accounts that raised about $2.4 million,
07:12 - where the people that were on it made $2.4 million betting on the war
07:17 - with a 98% success rate, 98% success rate.
07:21 - So you think about making a bet.
07:22 - You said I had a 5050 proposition, 98% rate for those nine accounts.
07:27 - One of those accounts was a soldier who had access to classified information
07:32 - on the Maduro raid, and correctly bet that Maduro would be captured,
07:37 - when, when he was.
07:38 - And so he won $400,000 as part of that.
07:41 - And, you know, we need to make sure that
07:45 - there are clear penalties here in the how was he found out?
07:48 - How is that transaction flagged?
07:50 - So I think how he did it was after he won.
07:53 - He did it on Poly Market.
07:54 - After he won, I believe he pulled the money out and then closed the account.
07:58 - And there are there are suspicious activities
08:01 - that we need to make sure that these that these operators are looking at.
08:07 - So the bank perhaps thought that was suspicious activity.
08:10 - The actual, the actual
08:14 - the actual markets themselves so poorly marketed call
08:19 - we need to make sure that they are, are watching it, and flagging this
08:24 - activity, and also having consequences on their, on their own, for these.
08:29 - Well, now that you put it that way, representative, what would the betting
08:32 - platforms be required to do under your bill?
08:35 - Yeah, they would be required to monitor for suspicious activity
08:39 - and also have safeguards in place so that if anyone was engaging
08:43 - in insider trading, they would be banned.
08:45 - And then there would be also penalties that, that they would impose as well.
08:49 - And, tell me more
08:50 - about the penalties are fines that might be imposed
08:53 - when a platform catches somebody playing with an unfair advantage.
08:56 - Yeah. So we're looking at civil penalties
08:58 - right now and we're still drafting the bill.
09:00 - But as we're sort of crafting and we're looking at $50,000 for,
09:05 - fines up to 50, $50,000, or if the the winnings are more than that,
09:11 - then actually, having double the winnings, whatever,
09:15 - whatever the winnings are,
09:17 - and we also want to make sure that we're empowering our attorneys,
09:21 - our district attorney,
09:22 - our our law enforcement, our district attorneys,
09:24 - our attorney general to be able to prosecute these cases.
09:27 - So under a bill, just how explicit would the betting platform
09:30 - have to be with publishing the penalties?
09:35 - Oh, yeah, we would expect them to publish that.
09:37 - And we would expect them to, to make it very clear.
09:39 - So there's a warning out there. At least we would expect them to.
09:42 - Yeah.
09:43 - And, again, we're still working out the details of the bill.
09:46 - The point is that people, two people should not be in a race system.
09:49 - Some people think that this is a victimless crime.
09:52 - I'm going to make my money and and and that should be fine.
09:55 - But the reality is, is that there's always someone on the other
09:58 - end of the wager, right?
09:59 - Someone that's taking the other, and it skews the, the betting percentages
10:04 - of, of, of, of what's favored to see someone that, that places
10:07 - a bet thinking that, you know, they're going to pay off
10:10 - really had no shot because the person who had access to the information
10:14 - knew the outcome before.
10:15 - And I remember that movie, back to the future,
10:18 - Part two, Biff Tannen and the Sports Almanac,
10:21 - right before making those, those wagers, knowing what's going to happen.
10:25 - And then he becomes, you know, this evil, you know, billionaire.
10:29 - We need to make sure like that was direction.
10:32 - We need to make sure that like, that is that's real life
10:35 - if you have insider information.
10:37 - So, we need to protect the public, from things like that.
10:41 - We need to make sure that these markets are not rigged and that they are fair.
10:44 - Now, what kind of control
10:45 - would you like to see on which real world events can be bet on?
10:49 - Earlier, you made the example of
10:51 - you don't want to make a bet on the prospects of somebody's death.
10:54 - Yeah, we we want to make sure that, you know,
10:58 - our goal, right, right now is to protect the public.
11:01 - And I want to also mention that this is a bipartisan bill.
11:04 - We have Democrats and Republicans on the bill.
11:06 - So in forming the bill, one of our Republican co-prime sponsors,
11:11 - thought that this was important to include and I agree
11:14 - to make sure that we don't have death markets because, again, you start,
11:19 - you know, you start monkeying around with money
11:22 - and betting and on people's and then you add people's lives.
11:26 - We want to make sure that these are safe,
11:29 - that there is no harm that is caused as a result of these markets,
11:33 - without actually weighing on whether they should be, you know, legal or not.
11:37 - That's not what we're trying to do.
11:38 - We just want to make sure that they're safe.
11:40 - Also, with youth sports, you know, we should not have, again,
11:43 - when you're talking about bet on anything that's not include, you know,
11:47 - an eight year old, soccer game, because it can be dangerous.
11:51 - And also, we want to make sure we're protecting our our young,
11:53 - our young adults, so many young adults are getting caught
11:57 - up, and I say adults, some kids that are that are teenagers still, you know,
12:01 - 21 is the legal gambling age in Pennsylvania.
12:05 - And there are kids that are younger than that,
12:08 - that are getting on these platforms that are that are gambling.
12:12 - And, we need to make
12:14 - sure that these platforms are also, you know, preventing,
12:18 - underage kids, from getting on this platform, on these platforms,
12:21 - you know, and spending money.
12:22 - So it really is making sure that we're causing no harm.
12:26 - So we think, you know, the death markets, and youth sports are two examples
12:31 - of things that really should not be part of bet on anything.
12:35 - And we want to make sure that those are left out.
12:37 - You said that your bill has bipartisan support.
12:40 - Yeah, but here we are in the middle of June.
12:42 - Of course, legislators have the state budget on their mind.
12:45 - I, I wonder when they'll get around to your bill.
12:47 - Is there any sense of urgency?
12:49 - I mean, I have a sense of urgency.
12:51 - I would like them to pass it, soon.
12:53 - You know, we're still actually working on the language.
12:57 - It is, we want to make sure also
13:01 - that we're we're not running afoul of any federal preemption.
13:05 - The courts are still sort of dealing with this.
13:07 - As far as I know, I think there's been only one case
13:11 - of the feds prosecuting insider trading on the prediction markets.
13:14 - And that was a case of that soldier for $10,000.
13:16 - One case.
13:17 - So it's clearly this is a sort of,
13:20 - a nascent, development, these prediction markets.
13:24 - It's not something that that has that has been out.
13:26 - And that also I think it's really captured the public attention.
13:29 - You go on Fox News, you go on.
13:32 - Ms..
13:33 - Now, not to pull people away from PCN, but they're, they're,
13:37 - they're quoting these prediction markets, call
13:40 - she and Polly Market and they're saying, what are the odds based on this?
13:44 - And it's interesting.
13:45 - Again, I check it myself.
13:47 - I want to see like, you know, where
13:49 - where are people thinking, this is going to go
13:51 - because I'm interested, like, how is this race going to go?
13:54 - And, and and it's informative.
13:56 - But we also let's, let's remember that,
13:59 - people like Pete Rose were banned, from insider trading.
14:03 - And we want to make sure that, that, that if you're insider,
14:08 - if you're doing insider trading, you're, you're not on these sites.
14:12 - Representative Tarik Khan, Democrat from Philadelphia.
14:15 - Thanks for your time. Thanks, Larry.